2. Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-05-16 · 14:30
11.5760.1%
X4.2922.0%
25.2817.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fortuna Dusseldorf
WDDLWWLWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Erzgebirge Aue
LLWLLLLDWD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.60
1.60
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
2.10
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.30
Against
4.80
9.00
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.60
1.60
Goals conceded
1.40
3.40
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Fortuna Dusseldorf attack

1.80goals per match
Erzgebirge Aue conceded1.40
Matchup

Erzgebirge Aue attack

0.60goals per match
Fortuna Dusseldorf conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.80
9.00
Match total
8.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.70
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
24.50
Match total
25.00

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
5.50
On target
3.20
13%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.1%55.8%-4.3 pp
Draw22.0%9.3%-12.7 pp
Away17.9%34.9%+17.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.572.1%
Over 3.539.5%
BTTS48.8%

Historical average

2.121.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.0%
1-211.6%
4-011.6%
0-19.3%
2-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.283.84
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.4%
Over 9.562.8%
Over 10.548.8%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–22.8% CI
Away FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI

Remaining goals

2.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away46.2%