2. Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-05-13 · 14:30
11.5560.4%
X4.2821.9%
25.3017.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Holstein Kiel
WWLLWWWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Regensburg
DLLWDLDWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.60
0.70
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.90
Against
3.70
10.30
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.60
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Holstein Kiel attack
1.90goals per matchRegensburg conceded1.60Matchup
Regensburg attack
0.60goals per matchHolstein Kiel conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.70
10.30
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.20
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.30N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
19.30
Match total
27.70
Shots
13.10N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
4.80
On target
4.40
15%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches78
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.4%60.3%-0.2 pp
Draw21.9%16.7%-5.2 pp
Away17.7%23.1%+5.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.537.2%
BTTS55.1%
Historical average
2.09–1.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.8%
4-010.3%
1-09.0%
2-09.0%
1-27.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.91–4.08
Average total9.99
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=78.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.532.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.7%41.3%–82.7% CI
Draw FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Away FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.76
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals52.9%
3+ goals29.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home82.4%
Away35.3%