2. Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-05-09 · 12:30
12.9631.8%
X3.4327.4%
22.3140.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Erzgebirge Aue
WWLWDWDWLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Paderborn
LWLDLDLWLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.70
1.40
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

2.60N=10
For
6.40N=10
5.90
Against
5.20
8.50
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
3.10
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Erzgebirge Aue attack

1.70goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.20
Matchup

Paderborn attack

0.70goals per match
Erzgebirge Aue conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.60N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.20
8.50
Match total
11.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.10
Match total
3.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
22.90
Match total
25.80

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
4.60
On target
5.00
14%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches152
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.8%25.7%-6.1 pp
Draw27.4%32.9%+5.4 pp
Away40.8%41.4%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.530.3%
BTTS60.5%

Historical average

1.181.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
1-29.9%
0-09.2%
0-28.6%
2-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.664.96
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=152.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.1%10.4%–32.5% CI
Draw FT42.6%29.5%–56.7% CI
Away FT38.3%25.8%–52.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.2%
2+ goals46.8%
3+ goals17.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home34.0%
Away61.7%