2. Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-05-07 · 17:30
12.2841.3%
X3.5926.3%
22.9132.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Holstein Kiel
DDWWLLWWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
St Pauli
LLDWWWDWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.70
1.00
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.60
Against
5.00
9.80
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Holstein Kiel attack
1.70goals per matchSt Pauli conceded1.50Matchup
St Pauli attack
1.70goals per matchHolstein Kiel conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.00
9.80
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.50
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.80N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
20.40
Match total
31.10
Shots
13.50N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
5.00
On target
5.10
13%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches90
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.3%37.8%-3.6 pp
Draw26.3%22.2%-4.0 pp
Away32.4%40.0%+7.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.534.4%
BTTS53.3%
Historical average
1.40–1.43
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-011.1%
1-210.0%
1-010.0%
0-210.0%
2-17.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.19–4.87
Average total10.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=90.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.535.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%28.8%–64.5% CI
Draw FT42.3%25.5%–61.1% CI
Away FT11.5%4.0%–29.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal61.5%
2+ goals34.6%
3+ goals23.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.8%
Away19.2%