2. Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-29 · 17:30
11.6058.7%
X3.9323.9%
25.4117.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hamburg
LLWWWWDDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Karlsruhe
WWWLWWWWWD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
2.40
0.90
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
5.60N=10
6.50
Against
5.80
13.00
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.40
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.90
Total goals
3.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Hamburg attack

2.00goals per match
Karlsruhe conceded1.50
Matchup

Karlsruhe attack

2.40goals per match
Hamburg conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
6.50
Corners against
5.80
13.00
Match total
11.40
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.00
Match total
4.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
26.20
Match total
28.00

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
14.90N=10
6.50
On target
4.90
13%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches79
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.7%59.5%+0.8 pp
Draw23.9%17.7%-6.2 pp
Away17.4%22.8%+5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS58.2%

Historical average

1.921.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.2%
1-010.1%
1-18.9%
3-07.6%
3-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.274.05
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=79.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.9%
Over 9.557.0%
Over 10.544.3%
Over 11.534.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Draw FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Away FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away47.6%