2. Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-27 · 17:30
13.1330.1%
X3.5027.0%
22.2042.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nurnberg
WWDLLLDDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Holstein Kiel
WDWDWLDLLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.50
Against
6.80
8.40
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
0.90
2.60
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

1.30goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded0.90
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.40goals per match
Nurnberg conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.80
8.40
Match total
11.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.20N=10
4.40
Match total
3.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
25.30
Match total
23.50

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.90
On target
4.10
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches104
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.1%26.9%-3.2 pp
Draw27.0%29.8%+2.8 pp
Away42.9%43.3%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS64.4%

Historical average

1.351.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
2-211.5%
1-210.6%
0-26.7%
0-15.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.675.19
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=104.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.532.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.9%7.9%–35.6% CI
Draw FT35.7%20.7%–54.2% CI
Away FT46.4%29.5%–64.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.89

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals35.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.4%
Away75.0%