2. Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-20 · 17:30
13.0231.2%
X3.4027.7%
22.3041.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Erzgebirge Aue
LWWLWDWDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Nurnberg
WLLLLWWLDD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.80
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

2.70N=10
For
4.40N=10
6.20
Against
5.30
8.90
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Erzgebirge Aue attack

1.70goals per match
Nurnberg conceded1.50
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

1.00goals per match
Erzgebirge Aue conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.70N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.30
8.90
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.40
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
23.20
Match total
24.10

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
4.90
On target
5.00
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches152
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.2%25.0%-6.2 pp
Draw27.7%34.9%+7.1 pp
Away41.0%40.1%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS55.9%

Historical average

1.111.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.1%
1-09.2%
0-09.2%
1-29.2%
0-28.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.705.09
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=152.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.7%12.8%–37.0% CI
Draw FT43.2%29.7%–57.8% CI
Away FT34.1%21.9%–48.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.2%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home34.1%
Away47.7%