2. Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-20 · 17:30
13.0231.2%
X3.4027.7%
22.3041.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Erzgebirge Aue
LWWLWDWDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Nurnberg
WLLLLWWLDD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.80
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
2.70N=10
For
4.40N=10
6.20
Against
5.30
8.90
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Erzgebirge Aue attack
1.70goals per matchNurnberg conceded1.50Matchup
Nurnberg attack
1.00goals per matchErzgebirge Aue conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.70N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.30
8.90
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.40
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
23.20
Match total
24.10
Shots
12.50N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
4.90
On target
5.00
14%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches152
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.2%25.0%-6.2 pp
Draw27.7%34.9%+7.1 pp
Away41.0%40.1%-0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS55.9%
Historical average
1.11–1.48
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.1%
1-09.2%
0-09.2%
1-29.2%
0-28.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.70–5.09
Average total9.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=152.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.528.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.7%12.8%–37.0% CI
Draw FT43.2%29.7%–57.8% CI
Away FT34.1%21.9%–48.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.18
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.2%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals9.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home34.1%
Away47.7%