2. Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-10 · 12:00
12.9831.6%
X3.3228.4%
22.3540.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Erzgebirge Aue
WLWWLWDWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
St Pauli
DLLLDWWWDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.60
1.20
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.10N=10
For
4.20N=10
6.50
Against
5.70
9.60
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Erzgebirge Aue attack
1.90goals per matchSt Pauli conceded1.60Matchup
St Pauli attack
1.60goals per matchErzgebirge Aue conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
6.50
Corners against
5.70
9.60
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.50
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
16.60N=10
24.00
Match total
31.80
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
5.20
On target
4.30
14%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches148
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.6%31.1%-0.5 pp
Draw28.4%29.7%+1.4 pp
Away40.1%39.2%-0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS57.4%
Historical average
1.17–1.45
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.9%
1-010.8%
1-210.8%
0-28.1%
0-07.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.69–5.17
Average total9.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=148.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.530.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.0%19.1%–46.0% CI
Draw FT40.5%27.0%–55.5% CI
Away FT28.6%17.2%–43.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.21
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals9.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.2%
Away50.0%