2. Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-10 · 12:00
12.9831.6%
X3.3228.4%
22.3540.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Erzgebirge Aue
WLWWLWDWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
St Pauli
DLLLDWWWDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.60
1.20
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.10N=10
For
4.20N=10
6.50
Against
5.70
9.60
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Erzgebirge Aue attack

1.90goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.60
Matchup

St Pauli attack

1.60goals per match
Erzgebirge Aue conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
6.50
Corners against
5.70
9.60
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.50
Match total
4.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
16.60N=10
24.00
Match total
31.80

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
5.20
On target
4.30
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches148
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.6%31.1%-0.5 pp
Draw28.4%29.7%+1.4 pp
Away40.1%39.2%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS57.4%

Historical average

1.171.45

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.9%
1-010.8%
1-210.8%
0-28.1%
0-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.695.17
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=148.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.0%19.1%–46.0% CI
Draw FT40.5%27.0%–55.5% CI
Away FT28.6%17.2%–43.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.2%
Away50.0%