2. Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-06 · 17:30
12.7434.4%
X3.2628.9%
22.5736.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Heidenheim
WWWDWWLWWL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Holstein Kiel
WWWDWDWLDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.70
1.00
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.60
Against
6.90
8.80
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
3.10
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Heidenheim attack
2.10goals per matchHolstein Kiel conceded0.90Matchup
Holstein Kiel attack
1.70goals per matchHeidenheim conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.90
8.80
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.20N=10
4.30
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.10N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
23.70
Match total
23.80
Shots
14.20N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.50
On target
4.40
15%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches210
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.4%36.2%+1.8 pp
Draw28.9%25.7%-3.2 pp
Away36.7%38.1%+1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS59.0%
Historical average
1.32–1.39
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.9%
2-111.0%
1-011.0%
0-19.5%
1-29.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.20–5.07
Average total10.27
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=210.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.536.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.9%26.6%–50.8% CI
Draw FT27.6%17.8%–40.2% CI
Away FT34.5%23.6%–47.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.8%
2+ goals34.5%
3+ goals13.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away55.2%