2. Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-03-15 · 19:30
12.4438.4%
X3.3028.4%
22.8333.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Pauli
LLDLDWLWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Paderborn
DWLLWLDLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
0.90
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
6.30N=10
4.30
Against
4.80
9.60
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
2.90
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

St Pauli attack

1.30goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.20
Matchup

Paderborn attack

0.90goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.80
9.60
Match total
11.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.90
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
25.80
Match total
25.80

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
14.90N=10
4.70
On target
5.50
9%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches71
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.4%38.0%-0.4 pp
Draw28.4%26.8%-1.7 pp
Away33.1%35.2%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.536.6%
BTTS57.7%

Historical average

1.411.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.7%
2-211.3%
2-19.9%
1-18.5%
1-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.314.62
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=71.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.522.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Draw FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Away FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.1%
Away47.1%