2. Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-03-13 · 12:00
11.8550.8%
X3.5726.3%
24.1222.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Darmstadt
LWLWLLWLWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Erzgebirge Aue
LDWDLLWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.50
Against
5.90
11.00
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Darmstadt attack

1.20goals per match
Erzgebirge Aue conceded1.40
Matchup

Erzgebirge Aue attack

0.80goals per match
Darmstadt conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
6.50
Corners against
5.90
11.00
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.30
Match total
4.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
26.20
Match total
25.10

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
5.80
On target
3.10
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches134
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.8%55.2%+4.4 pp
Draw26.3%28.4%+2.0 pp
Away22.8%16.4%-6.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.530.6%
BTTS56.7%

Historical average

1.801.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
1-09.7%
2-19.7%
2-09.0%
3-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.054.27
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=134.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.547.8%
Over 11.538.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.4%32.5%–62.7% CI
Draw FT39.5%25.6%–55.3% CI
Away FT13.2%5.8%–27.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals44.7%
3+ goals23.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.2%
Away34.2%