2. Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-03-08 · 19:30
12.1344.1%
X3.3628.0%
23.3628.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hamburg
WWDLLWWWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Holstein Kiel
WDWWWDWDWL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.80
0.90
Conceded
0.70
80%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.40
Against
6.20
12.40
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.80
0.90
Goals conceded
0.70
3.30
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Hamburg attack

2.40goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded0.70
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.80goals per match
Hamburg conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.20
12.40
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.50
Match total
4.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
25.60
Match total
23.80

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.60
On target
3.90
16%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches136
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.1%45.6%+1.5 pp
Draw28.0%38.2%+10.3 pp
Away28.0%16.2%-11.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.530.1%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

1.581.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
0-011.8%
2-011.0%
2-210.3%
1-010.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.384.71
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=136.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.1%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%31.7%–59.9% CI
Draw FT43.2%29.7%–57.8% CI
Away FT11.4%5.0%–24.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals43.2%
3+ goals20.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away27.3%