2. Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 12:00
11.6855.9%
X3.8424.4%
24.7619.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Holstein Kiel
WLDDWWLLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Erzgebirge Aue
LLDWDLLWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.40
Against
6.30
10.00
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Holstein Kiel attack
1.70goals per matchErzgebirge Aue conceded1.60Matchup
Erzgebirge Aue attack
0.80goals per matchHolstein Kiel conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.30
10.00
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.10
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.70N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
21.80
Match total
25.40
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.80
On target
3.10
13%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches108
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.9%55.6%-0.3 pp
Draw24.4%23.1%-1.3 pp
Away19.7%21.3%+1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS58.3%
Historical average
1.80–1.05
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.0%
2-012.0%
2-211.1%
1-09.3%
1-28.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.24–4.16
Average total10.40
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=108.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.557.4%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.529.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.1%30.7%–66.0% CI
Draw FT40.7%24.5%–59.3% CI
Away FT11.1%3.9%–28.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.81
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.2%
2+ goals59.3%
3+ goals25.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home81.5%
Away44.4%