2. Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 12:00
11.6855.9%
X3.8424.4%
24.7619.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Holstein Kiel
WLDDWWLLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Erzgebirge Aue
LLDWDLLWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.40
Against
6.30
10.00
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.70goals per match
Erzgebirge Aue conceded1.60
Matchup

Erzgebirge Aue attack

0.80goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.30
10.00
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.10
Match total
4.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
21.80
Match total
25.40

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.80
On target
3.10
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches108
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.9%55.6%-0.3 pp
Draw24.4%23.1%-1.3 pp
Away19.7%21.3%+1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

1.801.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.0%
2-012.0%
2-211.1%
1-09.3%
1-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.244.16
Average total10.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=108.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.557.4%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.1%30.7%–66.0% CI
Draw FT40.7%24.5%–59.3% CI
Away FT11.1%3.9%–28.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.81

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.2%
2+ goals59.3%
3+ goals25.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.5%
Away44.4%