2. Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-02-26 · 17:30
12.5536.9%
X3.3628.0%
22.6835.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Darmstadt
DLWLWLLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Karlsruhe
LDWWWLWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
2.20
1.50
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.80
1.60
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
5.40N=10
6.10
Against
6.00
10.90
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.90
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Darmstadt attack
1.40goals per matchKarlsruhe conceded1.50Matchup
Karlsruhe attack
2.20goals per matchDarmstadt conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
6.10
Corners against
6.00
10.90
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.50
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
26.40
Match total
27.80
Shots
14.40N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
5.90
On target
4.40
10%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches49
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.9%49.0%+12.1 pp
Draw28.0%20.4%-7.6 pp
Away35.1%30.6%-4.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.534.7%
BTTS57.1%
Historical average
1.55–1.22
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-114.3%
1-012.2%
2-112.2%
1-210.2%
0-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.96–5.80
Average total10.76
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=49.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.561.2%
Over 10.549.0%
Over 11.544.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%26.5%–60.9% CI
Draw FT35.7%20.7%–54.2% CI
Away FT21.4%10.2%–39.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.64
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals46.4%
3+ goals21.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.1%
Away42.9%