2. Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-02-19 · 17:30
14.1722.6%
X3.7525.1%
21.8052.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Erzgebirge Aue
DWDWLWWLWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Bochum
WLWWLLWDWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.70
1.40
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.80
1.70
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
6.00N=10
5.30
Against
4.40
8.60
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
3.30
Total goals
3.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Erzgebirge Aue attack

1.90goals per match
Bochum conceded1.40
Matchup

Bochum attack

1.70goals per match
Erzgebirge Aue conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.40
8.60
Match total
10.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.80
Match total
4.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
23.50
Match total
29.60

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
5.20
On target
5.50
15%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches44
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.6%27.3%+4.7 pp
Draw25.1%25.0%-0.1 pp
Away52.3%47.7%-4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS65.9%

Historical average

1.361.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.9%
1-211.4%
0-19.1%
2-09.1%
2-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.005.64
Average total9.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=44.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.8%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.534.1%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away50.0%