2. Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 12:30
12.3340.2%
X3.4527.2%
22.8732.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nurnberg
WLDDLWWDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
St Pauli
DLDDLLLDWW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.60
1.60
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.00
Against
6.20
10.10
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.60
Goals conceded
1.90
2.90
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

1.30goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.90
Matchup

St Pauli attack

1.60goals per match
Nurnberg conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.20
10.10
Match total
10.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.80
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
17.50N=10
25.30
Match total
32.50

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
5.30
On target
4.50
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches128
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.2%34.4%-5.8 pp
Draw27.2%31.3%+4.1 pp
Away32.6%34.4%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS60.9%

Historical average

1.261.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.2%
1-212.5%
2-111.7%
2-08.6%
2-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.144.91
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=128.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.534.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.8%8.9%–35.3% CI
Draw FT46.9%30.9%–63.6% CI
Away FT34.4%20.4%–51.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals40.6%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away59.4%