2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-28 · 14:30
13.3228.2%
X3.6625.6%
22.0346.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Holstein Kiel
DLDWLDWLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Nurnberg
DLLWDWLDDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.00
Against
5.90
9.60
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Holstein Kiel attack
1.40goals per matchNurnberg conceded1.30Matchup
Nurnberg attack
1.50goals per matchHolstein Kiel conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.90
9.60
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.10
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.30N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
23.00
Match total
24.70
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.90
On target
4.80
10%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%34.5%+6.3 pp
Draw25.6%20.7%-4.9 pp
Away46.2%44.8%-1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS72.4%
Historical average
1.38–1.72
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-117.2%
1-217.2%
1-113.8%
1-06.9%
2-03.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.79–5.28
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.534.5%
Over 11.531.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals40.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.0%
Away60.0%