2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-28 · 14:30
13.3228.2%
X3.6625.6%
22.0346.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Holstein Kiel
DLDWLDWLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Nurnberg
DLLWDWLDDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.00
Against
5.90
9.60
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.40goals per match
Nurnberg conceded1.30
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

1.50goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.90
9.60
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.10
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
23.00
Match total
24.70

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.90
On target
4.80
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%34.5%+6.3 pp
Draw25.6%20.7%-4.9 pp
Away46.2%44.8%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS72.4%

Historical average

1.381.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-117.2%
1-217.2%
1-113.8%
1-06.9%
2-03.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.795.28
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.534.5%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away60.0%