2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-28 · 14:30
12.7833.7%
X3.4027.6%
22.4238.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dresden
WLDWLLWLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Osnabruck
DWLDDLDWDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
0.90
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.30
Against
5.90
7.20
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.30
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Dresden attack

1.00goals per match
Osnabruck conceded1.40
Matchup

Osnabruck attack

1.40goals per match
Dresden conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.90
7.20
Match total
11.20
20%2/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.40
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
26.70
Match total
24.50

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
4.70
On target
4.80
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.7%41.9%+8.1 pp
Draw27.6%27.9%+0.3 pp
Away38.7%30.2%-8.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.534.9%
BTTS60.5%

Historical average

1.511.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-111.6%
0-111.6%
2-19.3%
1-29.3%
0-09.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.285.42
Average total10.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.4%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.546.5%
Over 11.537.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Draw FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Away FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.89

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.6%
Away50.0%