2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-21 · 14:30
12.1443.8%
X3.3827.7%
23.3028.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
St Pauli
DLWWDDWWDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Regensburg
DLLWLLLDDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
2.50
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
2.10
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.10
Against
6.10
9.40
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
2.50
2.00
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
St Pauli attack
1.40goals per matchRegensburg conceded2.50Matchup
Regensburg attack
1.00goals per matchSt Pauli conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.10
9.40
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.40
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
23.80
Match total
28.00
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.50
On target
2.90
12%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches67
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.8%52.2%+8.4 pp
Draw27.7%34.3%+6.6 pp
Away28.4%13.4%-15.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS46.3%
Historical average
1.63–0.93
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.9%
1-113.4%
0-010.4%
2-110.4%
2-010.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.57–5.13
Average total10.70
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=67.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.574.6%
Over 9.559.7%
Over 10.553.7%
Over 11.549.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.8%29.2%–67.0% CI
Draw FT43.5%25.6%–63.2% CI
Away FT8.7%2.4%–26.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.48
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.6%
2+ goals47.8%
3+ goals21.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.9%
Away30.4%