2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-21 · 14:30
13.0930.3%
X3.5426.5%
22.1743.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heidenheim
WWDWDDWWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Hamburg
DLDDWDLDLW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.40
0.50
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
6.40N=10
4.90
Against
3.70
9.90
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.40
0.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
3.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Heidenheim attack

2.10goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.60
Matchup

Hamburg attack

1.40goals per match
Heidenheim conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.70
9.90
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.00
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
21.00
Match total
23.30

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
15.30N=10
6.20
On target
4.60
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.3%28.8%-1.5 pp
Draw26.5%23.1%-3.4 pp
Away43.2%48.1%+4.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.532.7%
BTTS57.7%

Historical average

1.231.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.4%
0-09.6%
2-29.6%
0-19.6%
1-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.754.88
Average total10.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.9%
Over 9.565.4%
Over 10.551.9%
Over 11.538.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Away FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away60.0%