2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-21 · 14:30
13.3128.3%
X3.6325.8%
22.0445.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Erzgebirge Aue
WWWDLWWLWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Hannover
LWLLWLWWLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.50
Against
6.50
9.20
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Erzgebirge Aue attack

1.70goals per match
Hannover conceded1.70
Matchup

Hannover attack

1.50goals per match
Erzgebirge Aue conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.50
Corners against
6.50
9.20
Match total
11.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.80
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
25.40
Match total
25.30

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
5.30
On target
4.30
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.3%26.9%-1.4 pp
Draw25.8%23.1%-2.7 pp
Away45.9%50.0%+4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS73.1%

Historical average

1.311.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-219.2%
1-115.4%
2-111.5%
1-07.7%
3-23.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.125.38
Average total10.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.557.7%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.538.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away66.7%