2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-18 · 17:30
11.7453.8%
X3.8224.5%
24.3221.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Holstein Kiel
WDLDWLDWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Dresden
LLLLDDWLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.70
1.60
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.00
Against
6.70
9.70
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.70
1.60
Goals conceded
2.00
3.00
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.40goals per match
Dresden conceded2.00
Matchup

Dresden attack

0.70goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
2.40N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.70
9.70
Match total
9.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.50
Match total
3.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
23.30
Match total
21.60

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
4.60
On target
2.70
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.8%60.7%+6.9 pp
Draw24.5%17.9%-6.7 pp
Away21.7%21.4%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.567.9%
Over 3.546.4%
BTTS53.6%

Historical average

2.251.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.7%
3-010.7%
1-010.7%
5-17.1%
3-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.823.46
Average total9.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.1%
Over 9.542.9%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away40.0%