2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-14 · 12:30
11.9348.5%
X3.4327.3%
23.8724.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Pauli
DDLWWDDWWD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Erzgebirge Aue
LDLLLLDLDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.50
0.70
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.20
Against
6.40
9.40
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.50
0.70
Goals conceded
1.70
2.10
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

St Pauli attack

1.40goals per match
Erzgebirge Aue conceded1.70
Matchup

Erzgebirge Aue attack

0.50goals per match
St Pauli conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.40
9.40
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.50
Match total
5.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
22.70
Match total
24.90

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.90
On target
2.70
11%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches139
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.5%43.9%-4.6 pp
Draw27.3%26.6%-0.7 pp
Away24.2%29.5%+5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.523.0%
BTTS50.4%

Historical average

1.411.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.2%
1-110.8%
2-110.8%
0-110.1%
0-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.755.02
Average total10.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=139.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.1%
Over 9.563.3%
Over 10.552.5%
Over 11.541.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.6%19.5%–44.5% CI
Draw FT30.6%19.5%–44.5% CI
Away FT38.8%26.4%–52.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.6%
2+ goals36.7%
3+ goals20.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.9%
Away55.1%