2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-14 · 12:30
11.9348.5%
X3.4327.3%
23.8724.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
St Pauli
DDLWWDDWWD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Erzgebirge Aue
LDLLLLDLDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.50
0.70
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.20
Against
6.40
9.40
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.50
0.70
Goals conceded
1.70
2.10
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
St Pauli attack
1.40goals per matchErzgebirge Aue conceded1.70Matchup
Erzgebirge Aue attack
0.50goals per matchSt Pauli conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.40
9.40
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.50
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
22.70
Match total
24.90
Shots
13.10N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.90
On target
2.70
11%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches139
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.5%43.9%-4.6 pp
Draw27.3%26.6%-0.7 pp
Away24.2%29.5%+5.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.523.0%
BTTS50.4%
Historical average
1.41–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.2%
1-110.8%
2-110.8%
0-110.1%
0-27.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.75–5.02
Average total10.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=139.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.574.1%
Over 9.563.3%
Over 10.552.5%
Over 11.541.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.6%19.5%–44.5% CI
Draw FT30.6%19.5%–44.5% CI
Away FT38.8%26.4%–52.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.6%
2+ goals36.7%
3+ goals20.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.9%
Away55.1%