2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-08 · 19:30
11.6158.2%
X3.9423.8%
25.2118.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hamburg
WWWLWWLWDW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Holstein Kiel
LWWDDWWLDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
2.10
1.00
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
2.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.30
Against
5.80
11.00
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
2.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
3.10
Total goals
3.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Hamburg attack

2.10goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded1.80
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

2.10goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.80
11.00
Match total
10.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.70
Match total
3.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.10N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
21.20
Match total
22.10

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
6.50
On target
5.80
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.2%53.8%-4.4 pp
Draw23.8%26.9%+3.1 pp
Away18.0%19.2%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS65.4%

Historical average

1.921.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
2-015.4%
3-011.5%
2-211.5%
2-111.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.083.92
Average total11.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.9%
Over 9.561.5%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.538.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%45.4%–88.3% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home85.7%
Away35.7%