2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-07 · 12:30
12.2741.3%
X3.2628.8%
23.1429.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Erzgebirge Aue
WDWWWDLWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Karlsruhe
DDDLDLLWLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
2.30
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.80
Against
6.10
9.20
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
3.20
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Erzgebirge Aue attack

2.00goals per match
Karlsruhe conceded1.80
Matchup

Karlsruhe attack

1.20goals per match
Erzgebirge Aue conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.80
Corners against
6.10
9.20
Match total
10.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.00
Match total
3.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
26.40
Match total
23.70

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.10
On target
3.00
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches149
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.3%41.6%+0.3 pp
Draw28.8%30.9%+2.1 pp
Away29.9%27.5%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

1.391.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-012.1%
1-111.4%
2-010.7%
1-010.7%
2-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.774.69
Average total10.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=149.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.1%
Over 9.559.1%
Over 10.547.0%
Over 11.536.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.5%20.7%–44.7% CI
Draw FT50.0%37.1%–62.9% CI
Away FT18.5%10.4%–30.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals35.2%
3+ goals9.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away38.9%