2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-06 · 12:00
11.8750.2%
X3.5126.7%
24.0723.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bielefeld
LDWDDWWWWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Nurnberg
LLDLLWDWLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
1.90
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.10
Against
5.50
10.60
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.90
2.40
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bielefeld attack
1.70goals per matchNurnberg conceded1.90Matchup
Nurnberg attack
1.20goals per matchBielefeld conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.50
10.60
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.40
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.30N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
19.30
Match total
25.60
Shots
14.10N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
4.50
On target
4.10
12%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches113
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.2%49.6%-0.6 pp
Draw26.7%26.5%-0.2 pp
Away23.1%23.9%+0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.523.0%
BTTS49.6%
Historical average
1.45–1.01
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.3%
2-112.4%
0-09.7%
1-18.8%
0-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.65–4.65
Average total10.30
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=113.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.574.3%
Over 9.559.3%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.531.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%24.9%–54.1% CI
Draw FT33.3%20.6%–49.0% CI
Away FT28.2%16.5%–43.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.44
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.8%
2+ goals35.9%
3+ goals23.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.7%
Away43.6%