2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-05 · 17:30
12.3240.7%
X3.2029.5%
23.1629.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bochum
WDWWLLLDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
St Pauli
DLLLLLWDLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
5.40N=10
7.30
Against
6.40
11.10
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
3.50
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bochum attack

2.00goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.80
Matchup

St Pauli attack

0.80goals per match
Bochum conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
7.30
Corners against
6.40
11.10
Match total
11.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.90
Match total
3.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
26.00
Match total
24.50

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.90
On target
3.50
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.7%44.1%+3.5 pp
Draw29.5%35.3%+5.8 pp
Away29.9%20.6%-9.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS55.9%

Historical average

1.531.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-017.6%
1-111.8%
2-111.8%
3-18.8%
1-28.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.854.53
Average total10.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.579.4%
Over 9.558.8%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT66.7%39.1%–86.2% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal50.0%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away33.3%