2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-05-26 · 17:30
12.5037.6%
X3.2229.2%
22.8433.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Erzgebirge Aue
WWDWWWDLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Darmstadt
LDWLWDDWWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
2.20
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.90
Against
5.60
9.50
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.30
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Erzgebirge Aue attack

2.30goals per match
Darmstadt conceded1.30
Matchup

Darmstadt attack

1.20goals per match
Erzgebirge Aue conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.60
9.50
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.00
Match total
4.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
26.30
Match total
26.10

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
5.50
On target
4.20
18%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches104
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.6%37.5%-0.1 pp
Draw29.2%32.7%+3.5 pp
Away33.1%29.8%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS51.9%

Historical average

1.331.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.3%
1-010.6%
0-18.7%
2-28.7%
2-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.704.56
Average total10.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=104.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.1%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.532.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.3%20.8%–50.8% CI
Draw FT31.4%18.6%–48.0% CI
Away FT34.3%20.8%–50.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.9%
2+ goals45.7%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.9%
Away51.4%