2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 12:30
12.5436.9%
X3.0630.6%
22.8832.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dresden
DWLLWLDWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Erzgebirge Aue
DLDLDLLLLD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.60
1.50
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.30
Against
6.90
7.90
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Dresden attack

1.20goals per match
Erzgebirge Aue conceded1.80
Matchup

Erzgebirge Aue attack

0.60goals per match
Dresden conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.90
7.90
Match total
10.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.40
Match total
4.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
27.90
Match total
25.30

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.70
On target
2.90
12%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches102
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.9%27.5%-9.4 pp
Draw30.6%44.1%+13.5 pp
Away32.5%28.4%-4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS54.9%

Historical average

1.211.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.6%
0-013.7%
2-28.8%
0-18.8%
2-05.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.204.73
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=102.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.526.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.5%10.8%–35.5% CI
Draw FT53.8%38.6%–68.4% CI
Away FT25.6%14.6%–41.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.1%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away46.2%