2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 12:00
12.0246.5%
X3.2928.6%
23.7724.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Heidenheim
WWLWWWDWDD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Karlsruhe
LDDDDLDLLW
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.30
Against
6.00
10.20
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Heidenheim attack
1.70goals per matchKarlsruhe conceded1.80Matchup
Karlsruhe attack
1.10goals per matchHeidenheim conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.00
10.20
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.50
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
22.00
Match total
24.70
Shots
14.20N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
5.10
On target
2.90
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches69
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.5%42.0%-4.5 pp
Draw28.6%31.9%+3.3 pp
Away24.9%26.1%+1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.523.2%
BTTS58.0%
Historical average
1.38–1.13
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-118.8%
1-011.6%
2-211.6%
1-110.1%
0-08.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.28–5.07
Average total10.35
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=69.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.544.9%
Over 11.537.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Draw FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI
Away FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.4%
2+ goals21.1%
3+ goals10.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home36.8%
Away47.4%