2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-03-02 · 19:30
12.3939.1%
X3.4127.4%
22.8033.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hannover
DLLDDLWDDD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Holstein Kiel
LWWLWWDDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
2.10
1.70
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.40
Against
5.90
10.50
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.10
1.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Hannover attack

1.10goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded1.40
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

2.10goals per match
Hannover conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.10
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.90
10.50
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.70
Match total
3.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
27.10
Match total
23.80

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
3.10
On target
5.30
7%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.1%46.4%+7.3 pp
Draw27.4%14.3%-13.2 pp
Away33.4%39.3%+5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.391.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-117.9%
1-014.3%
1-210.7%
1-110.7%
2-110.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.756.11
Average total10.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.560.7%
Over 10.546.4%
Over 11.546.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Draw FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Away FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.79

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.3%
Away50.0%