2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 12:00
14.5520.6%
X3.8624.3%
21.7055.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Erzgebirge Aue
DWWWDWWWDL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Hamburg
LDDDDLDDWD
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
6.80N=10
6.00
Against
4.00
9.70
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Erzgebirge Aue attack

1.80goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.40
Matchup

Hamburg attack

1.30goals per match
Erzgebirge Aue conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
6.00
Corners against
4.00
9.70
Match total
10.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
0.90N=10
5.30
Match total
2.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
8.30N=10
26.60
Match total
21.60

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
16.70N=10
4.80
On target
4.60
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.6%26.9%+6.3 pp
Draw24.3%19.2%-5.0 pp
Away55.1%53.8%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.534.6%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.041.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.4%
1-115.4%
1-011.5%
2-311.5%
0-411.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.624.69
Average total9.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.7%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.523.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away50.0%