2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-28 · 17:30
12.7534.1%
X3.1629.7%
22.5936.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Karlsruhe
LWDDDWLLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Nurnberg
LDWLLDLLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.80
1.90
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.70
1.80
2H goals
2.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.20
Against
4.90
11.00
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.80
1.90
Goals conceded
2.20
3.30
Total goals
4.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Karlsruhe attack

1.40goals per match
Nurnberg conceded2.20
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

1.80goals per match
Karlsruhe conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.90
11.00
Match total
8.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.10
Match total
4.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
25.30
Match total
25.60

Shots

19.70N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.60
On target
4.40
7%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches87
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.1%32.2%-1.9 pp
Draw29.7%31.0%+1.4 pp
Away36.2%36.8%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.529.9%
BTTS58.6%

Historical average

1.251.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
0-110.3%
0-010.3%
3-18.0%
1-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.615.07
Average total10.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=87.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.1%
Over 9.562.1%
Over 10.552.9%
Over 11.540.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%7.3%–33.6% CI
Draw FT50.0%33.2%–66.8% CI
Away FT33.3%19.2%–51.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals6.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away56.7%