2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 12:00
11.9548.2%
X3.5226.7%
23.7425.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Holstein Kiel
DWDLLWDLDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Heidenheim
WLDDDDLWLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.50
1.40
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.40
Against
5.70
10.30
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Holstein Kiel attack
1.40goals per matchHeidenheim conceded1.30Matchup
Heidenheim attack
1.10goals per matchHolstein Kiel conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.70
10.30
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.20
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
23.90
Match total
24.00
Shots
15.40N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.60
On target
3.10
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.2%41.0%-7.2 pp
Draw26.7%27.7%+1.0 pp
Away25.1%31.3%+6.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.525.3%
BTTS56.6%
Historical average
1.40–1.14
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.0%
0-112.0%
1-112.0%
2-210.8%
1-010.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.27–4.39
Average total10.65
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.581.9%
Over 9.566.3%
Over 10.553.0%
Over 11.538.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.52
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals23.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.4%
Away57.1%