2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 12:00
11.4365.7%
X4.4521.1%
27.1113.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hamburg
DWWWWWWLWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
St Pauli
DLDDDLLLLL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
2.50
Scored
0.90
0.60
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.40
2.20
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.20N=10
For
6.40N=10
2.20
Against
6.10
9.40
Total
12.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded
1.80
3.10
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hamburg attack
2.50goals per matchSt Pauli conceded1.80Matchup
St Pauli attack
0.90goals per matchHamburg conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
2.20
Corners against
6.10
9.40
Match total
12.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.20
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.30N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
22.80
Match total
24.60
Shots
16.70N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
6.80
On target
3.10
15%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.7%71.9%+6.2 pp
Draw21.1%21.9%+0.8 pp
Away13.2%6.3%-7.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS53.1%
Historical average
2.53–0.75
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-015.6%
1-112.5%
3-112.5%
2-19.4%
2-09.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.44–3.84
Average total10.28
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.4%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.528.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Remaining goals
2.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals81.8%
3+ goals45.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home90.9%
Away18.2%