2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 12:00
11.4365.7%
X4.4521.1%
27.1113.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hamburg
DWWWWWWLWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
St Pauli
DLDDDLLLLL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
0.90
0.60
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
2.20
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
6.40N=10
2.20
Against
6.10
9.40
Total
12.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded
1.80
3.10
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Hamburg attack

2.50goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.80
Matchup

St Pauli attack

0.90goals per match
Hamburg conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
2.20
Corners against
6.10
9.40
Match total
12.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.20
Match total
3.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.30N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
22.80
Match total
24.60

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
6.80
On target
3.10
15%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.7%71.9%+6.2 pp
Draw21.1%21.9%+0.8 pp
Away13.2%6.3%-7.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS53.1%

Historical average

2.530.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-015.6%
1-112.5%
3-112.5%
2-19.4%
2-09.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.443.84
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.4%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals81.8%
3+ goals45.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.9%
Away18.2%