2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 12:00
12.5337.0%
X3.2229.1%
22.7733.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dresden
WDWLLWLDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Bochum
LLLDWLDLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.80
Against
7.50
8.30
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Dresden attack

1.30goals per match
Bochum conceded1.70
Matchup

Bochum attack

1.00goals per match
Dresden conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.80
Corners against
7.50
8.30
Match total
10.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.40
Match total
4.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
27.30
Match total
24.20

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.00
On target
3.30
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches80
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.0%41.3%+4.2 pp
Draw29.1%26.3%-2.9 pp
Away33.8%32.5%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

1.291.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
1-012.5%
2-111.3%
0-17.5%
0-26.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.544.65
Average total10.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=80.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.0%20.2%–55.5% CI
Draw FT32.0%17.2%–51.6% CI
Away FT32.0%17.2%–51.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals48.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away52.0%