2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-21 · 17:30
12.0745.4%
X3.2928.6%
23.6126.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Osnabruck
WWDLDWWWLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Erzgebirge Aue
LDLDLDLLLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.70
0.70
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.50
Against
7.30
9.00
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.70
0.70
Goals conceded
2.10
2.20
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Osnabruck attack

1.50goals per match
Erzgebirge Aue conceded2.10
Matchup

Erzgebirge Aue attack

0.70goals per match
Osnabruck conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.50
Corners against
7.30
9.00
Match total
10.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.10
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
28.50
Match total
25.60

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.80
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.4%48.1%+2.7 pp
Draw28.6%32.7%+4.1 pp
Away26.0%19.2%-6.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS63.5%

Historical average

1.561.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-119.2%
1-111.5%
2-211.5%
0-09.6%
2-09.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.775.54
Average total10.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.540.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.3%
Away37.5%