2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 12:30
13.0331.0%
X3.3228.3%
22.3040.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Erzgebirge Aue
WDWWWDWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Holstein Kiel
LLWWLWWDDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
2.00
0.90
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.20N=10
For
4.70N=10
6.40
Against
5.90
9.60
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.90
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Erzgebirge Aue attack
2.00goals per matchHolstein Kiel conceded1.50Matchup
Holstein Kiel attack
2.00goals per matchErzgebirge Aue conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.00
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
6.40
Corners against
5.90
9.60
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
1.40N=10
5.70
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
27.70
Match total
23.50
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
5.00
On target
5.30
17%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.0%25.0%-6.0 pp
Draw28.3%33.3%+5.1 pp
Away40.8%41.7%+0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS58.3%
Historical average
1.23–1.65
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.6%
1-212.5%
0-010.4%
0-18.3%
2-26.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.13–5.17
Average total10.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=48.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.564.6%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.529.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Draw FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal58.3%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home25.0%
Away58.3%