2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 12:30
13.0331.0%
X3.3228.3%
22.3040.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Erzgebirge Aue
WDWWWDWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Holstein Kiel
LLWWLWWDDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
2.00
0.90
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.20N=10
For
4.70N=10
6.40
Against
5.90
9.60
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.90
Total goals
3.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Erzgebirge Aue attack

2.00goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded1.50
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

2.00goals per match
Erzgebirge Aue conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.00
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
6.40
Corners against
5.90
9.60
Match total
10.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.40N=10
5.70
Match total
3.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
27.70
Match total
23.50

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
5.00
On target
5.30
17%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.0%25.0%-6.0 pp
Draw28.3%33.3%+5.1 pp
Away40.8%41.7%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

1.231.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
1-212.5%
0-010.4%
0-18.3%
2-26.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.135.17
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=48.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.564.6%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Draw FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal58.3%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home25.0%
Away58.3%