2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 12:00
14.0423.2%
X3.6625.6%
21.8351.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hannover
DDLLDDLWDD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Hamburg
WLDDDDLDDW
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.60
1.70
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
6.40N=10
3.90
Against
4.30
10.60
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Hannover attack

1.10goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.50
Matchup

Hamburg attack

1.60goals per match
Hannover conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.30
10.60
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.20N=10
4.60
Match total
2.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
8.50N=10
26.50
Match total
21.00

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
16.90N=10
3.60
On target
4.80
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.2%28.6%+5.4 pp
Draw25.6%25.0%-0.6 pp
Away51.2%46.4%-4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.567.9%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS67.9%

Historical average

1.291.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-221.4%
1-110.7%
3-17.1%
0-07.1%
2-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.866.82
Average total11.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.564.3%
Over 10.564.3%
Over 11.553.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away50.0%