2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-14 · 17:30
11.8850.0%
X3.4427.3%
24.1422.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Pauli
WWWLDDLWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Dresden
LDDLLLLLLD
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.80
Against
5.30
10.60
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
2.20
2.40
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

St Pauli attack

1.60goals per match
Dresden conceded2.20
Matchup

Dresden attack

0.70goals per match
St Pauli conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.30
10.60
Match total
8.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.60
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
22.50
Match total
24.00

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
4.60
On target
2.60
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches104
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.0%47.1%-2.9 pp
Draw27.3%26.0%-1.4 pp
Away22.7%26.9%+4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

1.421.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.4%
2-111.5%
1-110.6%
0-28.7%
0-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.394.88
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=104.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.2%21.2%–50.1% CI
Draw FT31.6%19.1%–47.5% CI
Away FT34.2%21.2%–50.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away55.3%