2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-14 · 17:30
12.3040.8%
X3.2429.0%
23.1130.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heidenheim
LWWLWWWDWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Nurnberg
WLDWLLDLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.70
0.60
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
70%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.80
Against
5.40
10.80
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.70
0.60
Goals conceded
2.00
2.10
Total goals
3.70
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Heidenheim attack

1.50goals per match
Nurnberg conceded2.00
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

1.70goals per match
Heidenheim conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.40
10.80
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.20
Match total
4.60
20%2/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
21.30
Match total
25.70

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.60
On target
4.20
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches141
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.8%38.3%-2.5 pp
Draw29.0%34.8%+5.8 pp
Away30.2%27.0%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS51.8%

Historical average

1.331.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.7%
0-012.1%
1-010.6%
2-09.9%
0-16.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.564.83
Average total10.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=141.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.5%
Over 9.561.7%
Over 10.547.5%
Over 11.534.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.5%15.3%–39.5% CI
Draw FT55.3%41.2%–68.6% CI
Away FT19.1%10.4%–32.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.02

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.8%
2+ goals34.0%
3+ goals4.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.7%
Away40.4%