2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 12:00
11.3768.4%
X4.6620.1%
28.1311.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stuttgart
WWWWLLWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Erzgebirge Aue
WLDLDLDLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.70
Against
7.60
9.00
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.80
2.90
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Stuttgart attack

2.10goals per match
Erzgebirge Aue conceded1.80
Matchup

Erzgebirge Aue attack

0.90goals per match
Stuttgart conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.70
Corners against
7.60
9.00
Match total
11.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.90
Match total
4.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
24.40
Match total
26.10

Shots

17.10N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
5.30
On target
3.90
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.4%63.2%-5.2 pp
Draw20.1%31.6%+11.5 pp
Away11.5%5.3%-6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.542.1%
BTTS57.9%

Historical average

2.470.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
0-010.5%
1-010.5%
3-110.5%
2-15.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.743.58
Average total9.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.531.6%
Over 11.515.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away18.2%