2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-02-02 · 12:30
11.7553.5%
X3.5826.2%
24.6120.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Current-season sample is not complete yetHeidenheim: 10/10 · Dresden: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heidenheim
DLWWLWWWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Dresden
LDDLLLLLL
0W 2D 7L · 0.22 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.78
0.80
Conceded
2.44
50%
Over 2.5
67%
30%
BTTS
56%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.33
1.80
2H goals
1.89
90%
Goal in 2H
78%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.44N=9
5.70
Against
5.11
11.30
Total
8.56
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/9 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=9
1.70
Goals scored
0.78
0.80
Goals conceded
2.44
2.50
Total goals
3.22
60%6/10
Over 1.5
89%8/9
50%5/10
Over 2.5
67%6/9
40%4/10
Over 3.5
44%4/9
30%3/10
BTTS
56%5/9
Matchup

Heidenheim attack

1.70goals per match
Dresden conceded2.44
Matchup

Dresden attack

0.78goals per match
Heidenheim conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=9
0.50
1H goals scored
0.22
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.11
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
67%6/9
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/9
1.20
2H goals scored
0.56
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.33
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
78%7/9
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
44%4/9
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=9
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.44N=9
5.70
Corners against
5.11
11.30
Match total
8.56
90%9/10
Over 8.5
44%4/9
70%7/10
Over 9.5
33%3/9
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
33%3/9
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.60N=10
For
2.78N=9
2.10
Match total
4.56
20%2/10
Over 3.5
89%8/9

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
13.56N=9
21.00
Match total
24.11

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
9.56N=9
4.80
On target
2.78
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.5%62.2%+8.6 pp
Draw26.2%21.6%-4.5 pp
Away20.3%16.2%-4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS56.8%

Historical average

1.620.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-118.9%
2-016.2%
1-013.5%
1-210.8%
0-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.354.22
Average total10.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.559.5%
Over 10.548.6%
Over 11.543.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away33.3%