2. Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-01-30 · 19:30
11.5361.3%
X4.2222.2%
25.6816.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetHamburg: 8/10 · Nurnberg: 8/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hamburg
DWWWWWWL
6W 1D 1L · 2.38 PPM
Nurnberg
WLDWLLDL
2W 2D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.38
Scored
1.88
0.63
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
75%
38%
BTTS
63%
By half
0.88
1H goals
1.63
2.13
2H goals
2.25
100%
Goal in 2H
88%
Corners
7.50N=8
For
4.75N=8
2.25
Against
5.88
9.75
Total
10.63
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/8 home-side sample · 7/8 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
5/8 home-side sample · 6/8 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=8 N=8
2.38
Goals scored
1.88
0.63
Goals conceded
2.00
3.00
Total goals
3.88
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hamburg attack
2.38goals per matchNurnberg conceded2.00Matchup
Nurnberg attack
1.88goals per matchHamburg conceded0.63Timing
First & second half
N=8 N=8
0.75
1H goals scored
0.88
0.13
1H goals conceded
0.75
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.63
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.25
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=8 N=8
7.50N=8
Corners for
4.75N=8
2.25
Corners against
5.88
9.75
Match total
10.63
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.88N=8
For
2.00N=8
3.00
Match total
4.25
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.88N=8
Committed
13.63N=8
23.63
Match total
26.13
Shots
16.63N=8
Shots
13.00N=8
7.13
On target
4.13
14%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.3%69.4%+8.2 pp
Draw22.2%16.7%-5.5 pp
Away16.5%13.9%-2.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.536.1%
BTTS52.8%
Historical average
2.39–0.72
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.9%
4-113.9%
3-011.1%
1-111.1%
0-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.28–3.39
Average total9.67
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.525.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.62
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals23.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home69.2%
Away53.8%