Serie A · 2023/24
2024-06-02 · 17:00
11.4764.8%
X4.8019.8%
26.2115.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
WWWWWLDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Fiorentina
WLLLDDLWLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.10
Against
2.10
9.20
Total
6.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.40goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.20
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.00goals per match
Atalanta conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
90%9/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.10
Corners against
2.10
9.20
Match total
6.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.70
Match total
5.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
23.20
Match total
25.10

Shots

18.50N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
7.20
On target
3.90
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches147
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.8%59.9%-4.9 pp
Draw19.8%27.2%+7.4 pp
Away15.3%12.9%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS59.2%

Historical average

2.301.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.6%
1-110.9%
0-08.8%
3-16.8%
3-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.453.46
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=147.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.7%23.7%–56.2% CI
Draw FT54.8%37.8%–70.8% CI
Away FT6.5%1.8%–20.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal58.1%
2+ goals45.2%
3+ goals16.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.6%
Away32.3%