Serie A · 2023/24
2024-06-02 · 17:00
11.4764.8%
X4.8019.8%
26.2115.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Atalanta
WWWWWLDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Fiorentina
WLLLDDLWLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.60
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.10
Against
2.10
9.20
Total
6.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Atalanta attack
2.40goals per matchFiorentina conceded1.20Matchup
Fiorentina attack
1.00goals per matchAtalanta conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.10
Corners against
2.10
9.20
Match total
6.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.70
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
23.20
Match total
25.10
Shots
18.50N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
7.20
On target
3.90
13%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches147
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.8%59.9%-4.9 pp
Draw19.8%27.2%+7.4 pp
Away15.3%12.9%-2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS59.2%
Historical average
2.30–1.04
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-111.6%
1-110.9%
0-08.8%
3-16.8%
3-06.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.45–3.46
Average total9.91
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=147.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.531.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.7%23.7%–56.2% CI
Draw FT54.8%37.8%–70.8% CI
Away FT6.5%1.8%–20.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal58.1%
2+ goals45.2%
3+ goals16.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.6%
Away32.3%