Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-26 · 19:45
11.3670.1%
X5.3717.8%
27.8712.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
WWDLLLWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Sassuolo
LLLLLLLDLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.60
0.70
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.40
Against
5.60
9.20
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.60
0.70
Goals conceded
2.30
2.10
Total goals
2.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.40goals per match
Sassuolo conceded2.30
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

0.60goals per match
Lazio conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.60
9.20
Match total
11.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.90
Match total
3.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
26.80
Match total
21.30

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.40
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches174
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.1%73.6%+3.4 pp
Draw17.8%19.5%+1.8 pp
Away12.1%6.9%-5.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.570.7%
Over 3.541.4%
BTTS55.7%

Historical average

2.460.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-014.9%
2-112.6%
2-09.8%
2-27.5%
1-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.063.34
Average total10.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=174.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.4%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.546.6%
Over 11.536.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.5%42.2%–71.5% CI
Draw FT37.5%24.2%–53.0% CI
Away FT5.0%1.4%–16.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals65.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away35.0%