Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-26 · 19:45
11.9948.0%
X3.7125.7%
23.6326.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Empoli
LLWDDLLWWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Roma
LLWWWDDWDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.70
1.00
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
80%
20%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.20
Against
6.10
10.50
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
1.80
Total goals
3.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Empoli attack

0.80goals per match
Roma conceded1.30
Matchup

Roma attack

1.70goals per match
Empoli conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
6.20
Corners against
6.10
10.50
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.10
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
25.70
Match total
23.80

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
3.10
On target
4.30
7%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches558
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.0%46.1%-1.9 pp
Draw25.7%27.6%+1.9 pp
Away26.3%26.3%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.529.0%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

1.601.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
1-09.9%
2-18.2%
2-07.5%
1-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.624.47
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=558.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.542.8%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches162
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.7%33.5%–48.4% CI
Draw FT37.7%30.6%–45.3% CI
Away FT21.6%16.0%–28.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.2%
2+ goals42.6%
3+ goals18.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.5%
Away44.4%