Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-26 · 17:00
11.4366.6%
X4.8919.5%
26.8713.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
DWWDWDLDDL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Lecce
LLLLLDWLWD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.70
1.40
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.00N=10
For
5.10N=10
2.80
Against
5.50
10.80
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.20goals per match
Lecce conceded1.50
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.70goals per match
Napoli conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.50
10.80
Match total
10.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.50
Match total
4.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
23.40
Match total
24.20

Shots

20.80N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
7.60
On target
4.30
6%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches242
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.6%72.3%+5.7 pp
Draw19.5%21.1%+1.6 pp
Away13.9%6.6%-7.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.3%
BTTS52.9%

Historical average

2.400.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.4%
2-09.5%
1-09.1%
3-18.7%
1-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.373.56
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=241.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.9%44.1%–68.8% CI
Draw FT39.7%28.1%–52.5% CI
Away FT3.4%1.0%–11.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.2%
Away24.1%