Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-25 · 19:45
11.1781.5%
X8.3411.4%
213.587.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
WWDWDWWLDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Salernitana
WLDLDLLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.80
1.80
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
2.80
Against
8.30
8.00
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
2.20
3.10
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Milan attack

2.10goals per match
Salernitana conceded2.20
Matchup

Salernitana attack

0.70goals per match
Milan conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
2.80
Corners against
8.30
8.00
Match total
11.30
30%3/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.80
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
22.70
Match total
24.00

Shots

17.00N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
6.00
On target
2.50
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home81.5%79.3%-2.2 pp
Draw11.4%13.8%+2.4 pp
Away7.0%6.9%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.596.6%
Over 2.589.7%
Over 3.569.0%
BTTS58.6%

Historical average

3.341.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

5-017.2%
2-113.8%
3-110.3%
3-06.9%
6-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.282.45
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.520.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%41.7%–84.8% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals73.3%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away33.3%