Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-25 · 17:00
11.3371.7%
X5.4517.5%
28.8610.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Juventus
WWDLWDDWDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Monza
DWLDWWLDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
0.70
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.80
0.90
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.70
Against
6.30
10.50
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded
1.10
1.90
Total goals
2.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.20goals per match
Monza conceded1.10
Matchup

Monza attack

1.00goals per match
Juventus conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.30
10.50
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.30
Match total
4.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
21.60
Match total
25.40

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.50
On target
2.90
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches227
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.7%73.1%+1.4 pp
Draw17.5%17.6%+0.1 pp
Away10.8%9.3%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.536.1%
BTTS48.9%

Historical average

2.270.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.1%
2-112.3%
2-09.7%
3-07.9%
0-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

7.793.24
Average total11.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=227.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.7%
Over 9.563.0%
Over 10.554.2%
Over 11.543.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.0%42.5%–66.9% CI
Draw FT38.3%27.1%–51.0% CI
Away FT6.7%2.6%–15.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals18.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.3%
Away30.0%