Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-25 · 17:00
11.3371.7%
X5.4517.5%
28.8610.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Juventus
WWDLWDDWDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Monza
DWLDWWLDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.00
0.70
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.80
0.90
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.70
Against
6.30
10.50
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded
1.10
1.90
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Juventus attack
1.20goals per matchMonza conceded1.10Matchup
Monza attack
1.00goals per matchJuventus conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.30
10.50
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.30
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.60N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
21.60
Match total
25.40
Shots
15.50N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.50
On target
2.90
8%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches227
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.7%73.1%+1.4 pp
Draw17.5%17.6%+0.1 pp
Away10.8%9.3%-1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.536.1%
BTTS48.9%
Historical average
2.27–0.80
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.1%
2-112.3%
2-09.7%
3-07.9%
0-06.6%
Comparable corner averages
7.79–3.24
Average total11.03
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=227.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.7%
Over 9.563.0%
Over 10.554.2%
Over 11.543.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.0%42.5%–66.9% CI
Draw FT38.3%27.1%–51.0% CI
Away FT6.7%2.6%–15.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals18.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.3%
Away30.0%